What do you make of the sensational prediction by a Chinese research group that a change in the average global annual temperature of 5.2 degrees Celsius will inevitably lead to mass species extinction?
The study is reputable and has also been included in the latest World Climate Report. However, the findings have not yet been confirmed by further studies. Currently, global warming stands at 1.2 degrees Celsius compared with pre-industrial levels. If the trend continues, the figure could reach 3 degrees by the end of the century and possibly hit the 5.2-degree mark in 150 years’ time.
As a basic researcher, you also put your research findings into practice, very much in the spirit of this year’s GDNÄ conference. Please give us an example.
Our most successfully applied project is called Ageless; we have been running it for two years in collaboration with the Universities of Bremen and Oldenburg. Ageless is part of a major programme by the Federal Ministry of Research aimed at protecting biodiversity in the so-called Blue Ocean. These are areas in international waters, 30 per cent of which are soon to be designated as UN protected areas. We already know that protected areas must be oriented predominantly parallel to the lines of longitude and must not be rigid, because particularly endangered species migrate towards the poles. If we did not take this into account, our successors would have to start from scratch in twenty years’ time. The collaboration with nature conservation organisations and social scientists in co-design is particularly exciting. This means that, whilst we are conducting our research, the initial findings are already being put into practice. Previously, publication came first, followed, perhaps, by application.
Through your institute, you are part of the GeoZentrum Nordbayern. Here, too, the aim is to advance the practical application of scientific findings. Is this proving successful?
Yes, there are a number of promising projects. In mineralogy, for example, research is being carried out into olivine-based concrete, which releases no greenhouse gases – or significantly fewer – than the carbonate cements most commonly used today. In petrology, colleagues are searching for metallic raw materials deep within the Earth to help meet growing demand – for instance, in the field of rare earths.
You’re originally from Coburg, conduct research and teach in Erlangen, and are regarded as a leading expert on the geological consequences of climate change in marine ecosystems. How did someone from Franconia end up in marine research, specialising in coral reefs?
It might sound strange, but I don’t have to drive far to reach a beach. And the nearest coral reef isn’t far away either – it’s practically on my doorstep, so to speak. Of course, these are fossilised environments, such as those in Franconian Switzerland or Lower Bavaria. There, in Saal an der Donau, I recently discovered the remains of 150-million-year-old tropical corals in a quarry and took a few samples back for our institute. Once you develop an eye for it, you can find such traces of the past almost everywhere.
What sparked your interest in this field of research?
As a teenager, I was determined to study a natural science subject. My maths wasn’t good enough for physics, and I didn’t like the dissection involved in biology. That’s how I ended up in the geosciences and, through one of my professors, eventually in palaeontology. He was so enthusiastic about his subject that it rubbed off on me. I have never regretted my choice of subject, and ever since I became a professor myself, I have tried to pass on that enthusiasm.